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I'm backing the Braves here who are red hot and have hit Stephen Strasburg hard over their career. In 128 AB they have a .852 OPS against him and that should continue tonight as they have scored 7.06 runs per 9 vs. RHP over their last 10 overall games. Meanwhile Washington is 30th in OPS vs. LHP and are scoring just 3.00 runs per 9 over their last 10. I think both pitchers will pitch good enough to win but it's the Braves offense getting the nod along with their bullpen that has just been flat out dominant.
Braves bullpen has a 0.81 ERA over their last 3 outings each combined while the Nationals have a 4.79. Strasburg tends to not go deep into games so this is critical factor for tonight's game. Mike Minor is on the hill for hte Braves and he's been fantastic with a 2.47 ERA on the road and has pitched a quality start in 11 of his 13 starts on 4 days rest. I expect it to continue against the Nationals who just have been clueless all year hitting lefties.
Corey Kluber is definitely under rated but the Tigers hit him hard once this year 8 ER in 4.2 IP. Tigers are 8-1 in their last 9 meetings and they will throw Anibal Sanchez who is even more dominant than Corey Kluber has been. Sanchez has a 1.53 ERA in 9 starts this year on 5 or more days of rest. Detroit's bullpen is also just pitching better right now 1.52 ERA over their last 10 and the offense is a bit better too. This will be Kluber's 3rd GS in a row on 4 days rest and he just went 8.2 IP against the White Sox. Sanchez meanwhile will have the extra rest and the confidence of having a 1.76 ERA in 5 career starts vs. Cleveland.
Where to find Freddy?